Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on various other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a separate event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Beat the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if that is what your is actually asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 coming from 10 million, which comes down to 1 chance out of 192,307.

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